From the Article:
For weeks following Joe Biden’s disastrous performance, his campaign publicly maintained the illusion that he was still well-positioned to defeat Donald Trump. Privately, they knew otherwise. As Pod Save America co-host Jon Favreau revealed days after the election:
After the debate, the Biden people told us that the polls were fine, and Biden was still the strongest candidate. They were privately telling reporters, at the time, that Kamala Harris couldn’t win. […] Then we find out, when the Biden campaign becomes the Harris campaign, that the Biden campaign’s own internal polling, at the time when they were telling us he was the strongest candidate, showed that Donald Trump was going to win 400 electoral votes.
The implications of this are staggering, and it should be treated as a massive scandal.
I think the big media companies probably knew this too but needed to create a false horse race for ratings and clicks
I mean, either every single pollster in every major news organization was just terribly off on their prediction or there was a push from the ownership to make this election ‘more interesting’. (This is my own conspiracy theory and I have no sources to back this bullshit up with)
Not sure what you mean about pollsters. They said it would be a tight race, and it was. Trump did not have a landslide by any means.
Agreed. Trump won by 140k in PA, 80k in MI, 30k in WI. That’s less than 0.16% of the total vote. (source)
Yeah, but does that jive with all the facebook maps showing that the parts of the country where no one lives are ‘red’? lol. Using actual facts and logic with MAGAt’s is like trying to have a philosophical conversation with a goldfish.
Totally. I’ve got this on my “to read” list, looks relevant: https://www.theframelab.org/twelve-communication-traps-democrats/
Yeah people really seem to have a hard time understanding this. Like they think 51% is some huge plurality.
I think a lot of people, including me just shut out all the crap after the election - So I don’t think it’s that people have a difficult time understanding it I think people just didn’t continue to follow the news and the see the final numbers a week or so later.
That’s the thinking with the elctoral college. Since most states are winner-take-all, a narrow victory can make an electoral landslide.
In 1984, Reagan won 58% of the popular vote - which is impressive, but nowhere near unanimous.
But due to how the system works, he won 98 percent of the electoral vote. Mundane only won in Minnesota and DC.
It was super close in Minnesota (only about 4000 votes).
DC was a crazy landslide, though. They HATED Reagan, who only took 13% of the vote in DC.
you’re right. I have to admit after the election I shut out lots of political media and really missed that it was closer than I thought.