Republicans admit the GOP’s midterm forecast is bleak. But they’re clinging to two hopes: voters’ fear and loathing of Democrats.
“It’s going to be a hate election,” a Republican tied to President Trump’s political operation told Axios. “Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with.”
Why it matters: There’s broad GOP frustration that Trump has made challenging midterm elections worse by not focusing heavily on pocketbook issues — especially the tax cuts Republicans won — while launching the Iran war, which raised gas prices and fueled inflation.
Trump’s prime-time speech Thursday night about China’s alleged influence campaign targeting U.S. voters six years ago did little to assuage those concerns.
“I have yet to understand how we win the midterms by talking about what happened in 2020,” Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) told Axios.
The Republicans’ plan will probably work too. Hate is the opiate of the masses. Some say its religion, but religion is merely a syringe.


I have a trans family member. I am personally invested in their rights as a person be respected.
We disagree completely. Up until 2 years ago I think we would agree that the DNC, for the most part, supported trans rights. When did we start seeing a handful of DNC candidates shifting on this position? When the candidates winning elections, the GOP, went transphobic. So the DNC losing more elections won’t make them less transphobic, it will make them more. We’ve seen this in real time in the last 2 years.
WTF. Its a good thing I never said anything of the sort. I don’t even think you need me in this conversation when you’re the one putting words in my mouth, and then criticizing me for it.
You are the one advocating for the GOP and voting for GOP candidates directly opposed to trans rights. You are directly hurting my trans sister. You are the person with the torch setting fire to the country.
It depends entirely on why they lose. Democrats didn’t lose in 2024 because of transphobia. Polls show trans issues were near the bottom of voter priorities.
When a party loses an election, politicians start to innovate. They change their messaging and start modifying their platform to try out something different. If those changes improve electoral results, those changes will stick. If they’re a net negative, they’ll end.
What we’re seeing with the Democrats is experimental transphobia. They’re testing the waters to see if it improves their odds. I as a trans person need to do everything I can to make sure that experiment is a resounding failure. Most Democrats aren’t openly transphobic…at least not YET. It’s unusual and “innovative” to be a transphobic Democrat. If a Democrat experiments with transphobia, and they win an election, that teaches every other Democrat that transphobia is a winning strategy. If they lose in landslide because the queer vote abandoned them for their betrayal, the experiment fails, and other Democrats will be less likely to take up transphobia.
You were almost certainly going to. After all, you just said I advocated for the GOP. Which should be pretty obvious I don’t support. Whenever I point out that sometimes trans people need to vote against some Democrats for larger strategic reasons, someone with a room temperature IQ will come out of the woodwork and say, “well that must mean you love Trump!” I wasn’t accusing you of putting words in my mouth. I was asking you not to do that. However, you still did it anyway when you accused me of advocating for the GOP.
That is not the case. In almost all scenarios, I support voting for a Democrat over a Republican. But a Democrat experimenting with transphobia against a Republican? Regardless of how that race goes, a transphobe is going to win. From my perspective, that particular election is already lost. At that point my priority is making sure the transphobic Democrat has as little credibility as possible. And that’s achieved by making sure they lose by the largest margin possible.
You will only see this as advocating against trans issues if you have the future time horizon of a fruit fly.
Voting for the GOP is showing support in a very meaningful way with repurcussions. You’re voting to put a party in power that has an active agenda opposed to your interests.
Your perspective is empowering a party with a transphobic agenda is better than a single trnasphobic voice that is part of a party platform that does not support their stance? One of those is a lot more likely to be able to enact harmful legislation a d you’re directly responsible for any harm that candidate will cause.
Unless you’re trans, I don’t want to hear your perspective on this. I don’t listen to entitled cis people who tell trans people how to think. We know our needs better than you do.
I helped my trans friends flee the midwest to the PNW because they weren’t safe here, so I do have stakes and I am involved in constructive actions helping the community as opposed to supporting the opposition.
Using your trans status to ignore others is almost as short sided as your single issue voting support for the GOP.
Sorry. Allies and trans allies share some commonalities, but you will never feel this in your bones. Part of being an ally is not talking over those you claim to be allies with. When a trans person speaks on a trans issue, if an ally disagrees with that, it’s best to keep your opinions to yourself.
This is one reason trans-dedicated spaces have to be very careful with how many allies they let into the space. If you’re not careful, the actual trans people will be outnumbered by the allies, and actual trans people will have their voices shouted down when the opinions of trans folks and their supposed allies disagree.
There’s a reason Native American tribes carefully control their member lists. If they’re not careful, friendly and supportive white people who have an enthusiasm for Native culture will end up taking over the place.
I’m white myself, but I do have a great affinity for the struggles of our black brothers, sisters, and siblings. I consider myself an ally to the black community. But at the same time, I would never talk over a black person if they shared a perspective on the black experience that differed from my thoughts on it. Obviously they know these subjects better than I do.
They’re the ones that decided to be trans-exclusive when their voting has harmful implications and results for both the group they’re proclaiming support for as well as many others.
If they’re voting for Nazis as part of a grand plan, they’re voting for Nazis.
I had a half written post responding to what you wrote before I realized just how far off we are from one another in both ideology and tone. Clearly I’ve deleted all of it. I feel sorry for you, but worse, I feel bad knowing the damage your actions will have on your cause and that of my family. Still, I wish you good luck in life and hope you don’t end up regretting your choices of who you vote for.
Feel free to respond to my final post to you if you like if you want to put a coda on this thread for others, but I’ll never see it.