The analytics are interesting too. From a pure statistics perspective, it actually makes sense to start pulling the goalie at about 8mins left in the third. But fans will have quite an adverse reaction to that (particularly if you do it at home). What’s interesting though is that we’ve gone from pulling with 1min left to 3mins… I suspect that will keep increasing until it converges to the statistical sweet spot, but only a little bit each year so fans don’t react badly.
The analytics are interesting too. From a pure statistics perspective, it actually makes sense to start pulling the goalie at about 8mins left in the third. But fans will have quite an adverse reaction to that (particularly if you do it at home). What’s interesting though is that we’ve gone from pulling with 1min left to 3mins… I suspect that will keep increasing until it converges to the statistical sweet spot, but only a little bit each year so fans don’t react badly.
Agreed, teams will develop defensive strategies over time to mitigate the advantages, or if it becomes too strong the rules will be adjusted.
Can you plz elaborate? :)
Not a stat guy, but I do think about the 5 minute mark makes sense.