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Cake day: June 22nd, 2023

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  • There’s some interesting points in the survey:

    • ex-Tory voters are feeding reform. Labour is not.
    • ex-Labour voters are feeding Greens and LibDems.
    • It’s the left of the Labour party leaving (obviously).
    • Once people go Reform, they stay there.
    • Immigration is a non issue for Labour/LD/Green. It won’t pull people back to Labour.
    • The anti-Semitism accusations have stuck to the greens, but not really amongst labour voters. It’s stuck more with right wing parties who weren’t voting green anyway.
    • 50% of labour “defectors” are open to returning for a GE. 50% are not.
    • More people are “open” to voting Green (33%) than any other party in a GE. Ref: 29% Lab: 28% LD 28% Con: 27%
    • The biggest reasons not to is that they fear it splits the vote, and they don’t believe greens can win. Then a step down to “policies are naive, can’t be done”.

    A change in voting system to PR seems to be the best way to defend against Reform. If the greens can convince more people of their credibility on policy and ability to win elections, they could become very strong.

    Edit: that’s all England data. I haven’t delved into Scotland and Wales yet. At a glance it looks more complicated.







  • That’s a bad faith argument

    Yes and no. I wrote it in a blunt way, but to deregulate nuclear plants I want to be sure it doesn’t impact safety.

    Your story does nothing to convince me that the industry is regulated to “strangle” it. You don’t say what the pipe did. It may have been part of a coolant loop in which case it’s safety critical and having the wrong pipe might mean early failure of joints of connected components. Getting that right could be important and so it’s right to be regulated.

    The problem is actually that it took far too long to be sure what was right, and that’s down to companies / people being far too dogmatic about how they work.

    nuclear also comes from the way we manage energy utilities. When a solar farm is built, the builders can just sell it to the utility and walk away, no consideration for decommissioning or waste disposal or environmental considerations.

    Well yes, because the site isn’t a million tonnes of low level nuclear waste that needs to be dismantled in a controlled fashion, and specially processed. A solar farm might have some toxic metals in the panels when ground-up, but all are quite easily reclaimed. There’s no special skill / process needed for anyone dismantling it. It just needs responsible disposal.

    Completely different scale of responsibility.