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Cake day: February 15th, 2025

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  • You cannot reason a man out of a position he did not reason himself into.

    If you’re looking at a guy’s resume and it includes graduating from UPENN and getting admitted into Stanford, then launching/guiding/acquiring multiple successful companies and you’re then concluding “nah this guy ain’t smart” or “i’m not sure if he’s smart” it’s a position you reached not through logic/reason.

    The author is taking a shot in the dark on Musk’s IQ and what the author wants it to be. 110 is normie. Isaacson, a very respected biographer, claims Musk’s SAT was 1400, which would have put him somewhere around ~93 percentile. I want to see proof of that score, but I’d guess Musk’ IQ is around 125-130 and around 95-97 percentile.

    Trying to boil Musk’s success down simply to lying is vastly underestimating him and playing in his favor.



  • Consider the 2016 election and the dangers of writing someone off.

    Initially, the GOP establishment wrote Trump off as a flash in the pan. He’d enjoy an upswing, probably do something really dumb, and either way voters would come to their senses ahead of primary voting.

    By the time the GOP establishment realized how big a threat trump was, it was too late.

    Meanwhile, the Clinton campaign was pushing for Trump as GOP nominee, assuming he’d be an easy opponent.

    We know how that turned out.

    Trump is not Musk, it’s not a direct parallel, but it illustrates the dangers of underestimating someone.

    Everyone deluding themselves into thinking Musk is an idiot (or 100 IQ) are creating conditions favorable to Musk.

    (I wouldn’t be surprised if Musk is of above average intelligence but not a true genius).













  • Eh, I despise Musk and believe he is a grave threat.

    But this “Musk isn’t smart” narrative is a waste of time and underestimating Musk makes him more dangerous.

    Tesla was a nothing burger company before he acquired it. SpaceX has been highly successful under his leadership. Musk may not have provided much technical knowledge, but he’s accomplished too much for it to be random luck, and steering such companies, even if not on a daily basis, is going to require applied intellectual skill.

    Edit: guys you can downvote all you want but underestimating Musk just weakens your position and aids him. You’re not going to an Ivy League school with average or below intelligence.

    You’re also not starting and guiding various companies to high level success if you’re dumb. Yes Musk has failed projects. Essentially every company and many if not most entrepreneurs have suffered failures.

    Allegedly he also got a relatively high SAT score (1400) according to Isaacson, a respected biographer (I’d want to see hard proof however).

    Musk’s IQ is probably something like 125, not 160. But it’s not going to be 90 or other like that.

    But I guess you can go ahead and play into his hand and boost him by underestimating him.