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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • Define win because I’m pretty sure it doesn’t mean what you think it means.

    The only tactic with “almost instant” results would be the US just nuking everything, which A. is definitely not a “win” by any definition, and B. is an insanely irresponsible assumption that there wouldn’t be substantial collateral damage and that’s if you were inhumane enough to ignore the lives of everyone living in the targeted countries to begin with.

    Or somehow do you think the US could win a conventional war against three separate countries “almost instantly”, after it took 2 decades to make absolutely no lasting changes in Afghanistan? In which case just lol.



  • DXY measures the US dollar against every other currency. So if the US dollar in isolation had a bunch of inflation (e.g. because the US government printed a ton of money), then that would be reflected in DXY.

    But if every major currency printed a ton of money at the same time, then DXY would not change because it’s only relative to other currencies.

    So it doesn’t calculate inflation directly, but it’s generally correlated with it.


  • SPY is up 3% YTD while DXY (which measures the value of a dollar) is down 9% YTD. If you own shares of SPY, then you hold them in dollars, so the real change in value of your stock is [share price] x 1.03 x 0.91, which translates to being down over 6%.

    BUT not only is your investment value down, if you live in the US you presumably get paid in dollars as well. Which means you’ve gotten a 9% pay cut since the start of the year.
















  • Actually checking the name and address against the voting registration record, without an additional ID check, really is enough to validate someone in like 99.999999% of cases. In order for someone to impersonate someone else while voting, they would need to:

    -Know their name

    -Know their address

    -Know their designated polling place and physically visit it to cast a ballot

    -And most importantly, they would need to know that the person they’re impersonating is not going to vote in that election. Because otherwise as soon as they do, it’s going to flag a voter fraud alert when one voter appears to be voting twice. Which is a federal crime that is taken very seriously and easy to track down, because it occurs so infrequently and there’s surveillance at every polling location

    So an imposter would be risking federal prison time in order to swing an election by one vote. It’s something that happens like a single digit number of times per election.

    Compare that to the hundreds or even thousands of times that people work 8+ hour days (since elections in the US are never on holidays), get to their polling place that closes as early as 6pm, and then find that they’ve forgot to bring or lost their ID, and then won’t or can’t vote in the election. The current system works fine, ID laws are 100% just a voter suppression tactic.