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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • I mean, it killed Gene Hackman’s wife…

    It’s called “andes variant” but it’s been in America for a while.

    Weirdly enough, it’s such a big concern that we mapped it like a month before this cruise outbreak:

    https://news.utexas.edu/2026/03/11/scientists-map-deadly-hantavirus-bringing-treatments-one-step-closer/

    Because we knew we were gonna be fucked if a more transmissible variant showed up…

    In 2024, the NIH identified several families of viruses — including hantaviruses — that were extremely dangerous and had no effective vaccines or treatments, making them of special concern for their potential to cause a pandemic. To better prepare for future pandemics, the NIH awarded a series of grants through the ReVAMPP program to study these viruses and develop new tools to combat them, including the grant that established the Provident consortium and enabled this latest study. McLellan and other Provident researchers have simultaneously been working to find ways to address other viruses that health officials have identified as especially dangerous in an outbreak, such as measles and Nipah virus.

    And it may just have…


  • and I trust her expertise over media sensationalism.

    What media sensitationalism?

    There is none, that’s what my comment was about

    Even just look at that link about how kitted out the WHO workers were during the evacuation.

    The issue is individual countries not treating it seriously, obviously that would include some epidemiologists.

    Like, not saying she’s not competent, but don’t forget what happened to the first surgeon that started washing his hands. It doesn’t matter if she has a degree and decades of experience if she doesn’t have a questioning attitude and just goes with the flow.

    Because, again, the problem is that attitude being pervasive in the first place…

    There are just so many different ways you’re missing the point here buddy…

    Edit:

    I mean, even if she’s “competent” in her day to day work…

    If she isn’t concerned about andes variant as an epidemiologist, she isn’t paying attention and hasn’t been for years at least

    In 2024, the NIH identified several families of viruses — including hantaviruses — that were extremely dangerous and had no effective vaccines or treatments, making them of special concern for their potential to cause a pandemic. To better prepare for future pandemics, the NIH awarded a series of grants through the ReVAMPP program to study these viruses and develop new tools to combat them, including the grant that established the Provident consortium and enabled this latest study. McLellan and other Provident researchers have simultaneously been working to find ways to address other viruses that health officials have identified as especially dangerous in an outbreak, such as measles and Nipah virus.

    https://news.utexas.edu/2026/03/11/scientists-map-deadly-hantavirus-bringing-treatments-one-step-closer/

    And that article was written before the cruise ship outbreak, it literally can’t be “media sensationalism” about the cruise out real, that’s not how linear time works.


  • Longer than that.

    Evacuations are just starting today, and most (I think all) countries are just doing two week quarantine.

    Symptoms show up at latest at 6 weeks, but can be as soon as four days. And right before symptoms you become infectious.

    The real danger is these people get infected during evac, don’t display infections till after quarantine, and then upon release become infectious and spread it. Especially since they’ll think they’re safe and are likely to immediately go out in public.

    Even with expontial spread, 6 weeks from now we’ll still be “fine” in the present tense, but that doesn’t mean we’re not already fucked.

    That’s why controlling the begining is so important and everyone on that ship needs a two month quarantine to be sure.



  • Article does elaborate that it’s the Andes variant (the only one that does human to human) but I don’t think it mentioned the 40% mortality rate when it’s a respiratory infection, paywall kicked in before I skimmed it all.

    But anyways, journalist really need to specify “Andes variant” in headlines. People are just googling “hantavirus” and no one is freaking out enough.

    All it takes is one infected person going home and spreading it and we’re fucked. Especially since it’s coming from a cruise ship, so it’s already people that don’t take hygiene seriously, or they wouldn’t be going on cruise ships.

    A modern typhoid Mary traveler would be a huge deal especially with long incubation periods and how long of a range infection can spread.

    Like, there’s already someone that caught it walking within four feet of a table that had an infected person eating at it. If one of these fucks gets on an airplane while infectious, they’re gonna infect everyone on the plane, and 4-6 weeks later they’ll infect everyone they interact with

    We’re insanely lucky we caught it on that ship, but we should have quarantined the whole fucking thing immediately.

    This could make COVID look like nothing.

    40% mortality, when dealing with isolated cases.

    For isolated cases COVID mortality was well under 1%, deaths didn’t rack up until hospitals were overwhelmed…

    If we start at 40% mortality with adequate hospital care, it’s gonna essentially be 100% mortality if hospitals are already full.


  • As much as people love to talk about them, they weren’t how things got fixed.

    Like, by the time guillotines come out, its already over.

    What the actual fix was, was the masses understanding that the wealthy were fine if everyone else starved in the streets. And that if they didn’t do anything about that fact, nothing was gonna change.

    That turned protests into riots, and made the people guarding the oligarchs realize the oligarchs were fine with them dying too.

    When they flipped, they just stopped showing up to risk their lives for one more paycheck. Every single person that doesn’t show up changes the mental math everyone else does the next morning.

    To get anything to change, the people guarding the oligarchs need to feel like they’re drastically outnumbered and outgunned, that whatever they’re being paid isn’t enough, because they have a legitimate chance of death for picking that side.

    We’ll never scare the oligarchs enough to change shit, they have too much too lose. They’ll just hire more thugs and build more bunkers.

    So we make the thugs too scared to stand between oligarchs and an armed mob, and suddenly there’s plenty of time to build some guillotines or park jets, because no one is there to stop us from storming mansions and putting oligarchs in chains.

    Anyways, the method doesn’t matter, what matters is setting the example to following generations that this is what happens with rampant wealth inequality. That this isn’t an “if” it’s a “when”.



  • Don’t get discouraged by how many of these keep coming up, and that “they got away with it”.

    They’re “getting away with it” present tense, but forensic accounting is a thing.

    We can’t just pull a Biden again with the PPE loan fraud and pretend it didn’t happen. We need to put the effort in and hold these people accountable.

    Did they blow the money?

    Seize all their propert, make it a nondischargeable judgement, garnish their wages (after they get out of prison).

    White collar crime keeps happening because no one is ever held accountable and it’s literally killing our society.

    A progressive president in 2028 will have thousands of examples to show this open corruption is no longer acceptable. Added benefit it’s not just people with Rs by their name doing these grifts. So fuck the neoliberals, if they’re doing less blatant shit like this too, prosecute them as well and make room for a Dem who will support the people.

    Going after political corruption like this regardless of party is an obvious win

    Fuck, “drain the swamp” is one of the biggest lies that got trump elected, that’s how desperately the people want this at an end.


  • Norovirus is normal, it went thru my boot camp division. Its just the normal “cruise ship flu” that always happens and sucks.

    Hantavirus is not normal, especially the Andres variant that was on that other cruise ship. (Edit: it’s “normal” as in it’s the reason you have to wear masks and gloves when dealing with mice, because catching it is incredibly serious even tho most rodents don’t have it. The version that can go from human to human, is incredibly rare, and incredibly dangerous.)

    That fucker has like 40% lethality when respiratory (how it seems to be travelling human to human) and while transmission window is short, just walking withing 4 feet of someone whose not even exhibiting systems is enough to infect.

    I can’t remember the incubation time for sure, but I think liken4-6 weeks?

    And you just fucking know when the Americans from that ship come back, they’re not going to have to do quarantine or anything. CDC has announced they don’t have to quarantine

    Have you even looked into it?

    Or are you wanting for Lil Bobby Kennedy to put the raccoon penis down and investigate?

    https://www.forbes.com/sites/maryroeloffs/2026/05/09/hantavirus-cruise-passengers-will-disembark-sunday-latest-updates/?streamIndex=0

    This isn’t “nothing” and honestly it’s weird more people aren’t freaking out.


  • A few days later, a group of Indiana lawmakers who rejected the president’s push to redistrict the state lost their primaries, demonstrating Trump’s continuing hold over the Republican base

    Shouldn’t listen to anyone who doesn’t understand that…

    Those races were insanely close while being low turnout, and trump still didn’t replace enough to change the vote on it

    He’s pissed off a bunch of old-school Republican voters who are tired of his shit, and they’re likely to stay home.

    Swapping out decades of experienced shit again who knew how to abuse the system for a couple of chucklefucks that blindly agree with trump will backfire in the general.

    I habitually overestimate people, but this is as clear as day…

    Journalists (at least, out of everyone) should be noticing that





  • I 100% get not committing to run right now, it would be stupid to do so.

    “In this op-ed that Bezos paid for in The Washington Post, there was a veiled threat — it was the elite saying if you want this job, you just stepped out of line,” said Ocasio-Cortez. “What’s funny about that is they assume my ambition is positional. They assume my ambition is a title or a seat. My ambition is way bigger than that. My ambition is to change this country. Presidents come and go, elected officials come and go, single payer healthcare is forever.”

    But I sure as fuck hope she realizes becoming president is our best shot at that.

    Shed drive down ballot races like Obama did, but isn’t as cocky and obsessed with personal power to ignore the DNC after winning like Obama did. Shed name a progressive chair.

    Bringing in a wave of progressives and putting the party firmly on the progressive side of the divide is absolutely the biggest thing she (or anyone) can do to get us single payer healthcare.

    So like I said, hopefully she’s planning to run, just smart enough to not say it yet.


  • Why do you think all these people were driven by cynicism?

    Because if you look at any technological or scientific breakthrough…

    The person who broke through, did so because they were got frustrated everyone else is wrong…

    Look at string theory right now, one person finally got pissed off enough that they spoke up and said it was all nonsense…

    Everyone stayed quite for a bit, then the entire physics community admitted it was wrong and we’ve wasted decades.

    The bulk of the community knew it didn’t add up, but because they werent driven by spite or frustration, they never spoke up. They were driven by curiosity, so the fuetherest they were ever going to get is “maybe it works if we do this”.

    It takes someone who doesn’t give a fuck what others think, to go against the grain hard enough and say what they know will catch a lot of flak, be cause that’s what right.

    Them making all that noise attracts the attention of “the curious”

    If you still don’t understand this, or ever have questions about anyone else. Ask someone who was “curious” enough to check if I’m right. I won’t see any more questions from you.


  • Logically it makes sense.

    Wealthy and powerful people are always likely to be “first” in stuff like this, because they’re the ones with the resources to fight.

    But wealthy and powerful people are almost always pieces of shit.

    Them being gay isn’t why this happened, that didn’t make them monsters.

    The normal effects of being wealthy and powerful for decades fucks you up, regardless of who you were before.

    The way to help them, is to not allow anyone to achieve this power of wealth/power. If they were capable of realizing that themselves, they’d give most of that wealth away before it changed them.

    But some people need the government to do it for them.

    It’s for their own good, but it’s for our own good too.


  • I said:

    No, skepticism isn’t enough.

    It’s the cynicism and frustration from knowing someone is clearly and obviously wrong and putting in the effort to prove it that drives science.

    You took that as “the reason everyone does any type of research”…

    They’re two completely and totally different things

    I’m talking about what causes large leaps and breakthroughs, the shit that if that person is insanely luckily they’ll see the scientific community finally come around before they die. Like Roger Penrose predicting conciouness had a vital quantum component like 30 years ago and everyone else in the scientific community dismissing his theory as crazy until it was proven possible maybe 3 years ago? Einstein wasn’t as lucky, he died before Penrose finished Einstein’s ideas and moved on to his own.

    The people who come after, may research out of curiosity.

    But that’s because they’re curious if the shit they’ve already heard is real, that doesn’t drive science, it literally can’t be the driving factor… What drives something is what’s at the forefront, bleeding edge stuff.

    I’m talking about the lone guy that walks in a random direction in the woods because he knows that’s a better way and is tired no one takes his word, you’re talking about the people who turn a walking path into a freeway, both have a purpose, but they’re drastically different in almost every respect.

    I just don’t know how to explain that in a way the average person can understand apparently.

    The crux is you think all science is equal, and that is a wild and fundamental misunderstanding of the entire process.


  • Not having a visual reference would mean their experience of visual input would be distinct from ours, but concluding that it doesn’t happen at all is a stretch.

    It literally would…

    Because of the type of blindness they’re talking about…

    You don’t understand anything else, because you’re still trying to talk about any sort of visual impairment

    I’m sorry I can not explain this in a way you can understand, but I’ve also lost all motivation to try with anything else at this point.

    You’ll need to find someone else